The Ashes: England coach expecting big backlash

IF ANYONE knows how the Australian players will react to last week's 169-run loss in the first Ashes Test in Cardiff, it's new England coach Trevor Bayliss.

The New South Welshman said he had no doubt the tourists would hit back hard in the second Test which starts at Lord's on Thursday.

"They will be hurting," Bayliss said. "They don't like losing. Any international cricketer doesn't. They have a proud record and losing will mean they come out in the next game trying to prove a point.

"There were enough of their batters who got starts to show they are not far off making some big scores. We are going to have to be on our game to win more matches from now."

History shows England has gone on to win the Ashes eight times at home after taking the first Test, although Australia - which has won the series 15 times in England - has come from 1-0 down three times to claim the urn.

While much of the talk since England's much-deserved victory at Sophia Gardens has centred on calls for perennial under-performer Shane Watson (pictured) to be replaced by Mitchell Marsh, the reason for Australia's loss may be simpler to explain.

In the past three Ashes series in the UK, just one Test match has been won by the team batting second - Australia's victory in the fourth Test at Headingley in 2009.

That means 14 of the last 15 Tests between the sides on British soil has seen the team that won the toss either win or draw the match.